Many believe that the coronavirus is harmless or no longer as dangerous as it used to be because fewer people are dying from Covid-19 despite the rise in new infections. Is that actually the case or is there other reasons for the falling death rate?
Many opponents of the restrictive corona measures say that the corona virus is not as dangerous as it is claimed. At least it’s not as deadly now as it was in spring. As evidence, they cite that hardly any people die of Covid-19 in Germany, although the number of new infections is increasing again significantly. At first glance, that seems plausible, but it’s not that simple.
Artificial intelligence can identify coronavirus
It is undeniable that the death rate has fallen dramatically. According to the figures from the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), around seven percent of Covid 19 patients died at the end of April; in June the rate fell below one percent. Currently less than 0.5 percent of the registered infected people succumb. And that although the number of new infections has been rising continuously since mid-July.
Many reasons for lower death rates
However, this does not mean that the virus has become more harmless, the decline has various other reasons. Some are obvious, others need further research. How important they are also differs from country to country. Among other things, differences in demographics, economic performance, health system performance and politics play decisive roles.
First of all, it can be assumed that fewer Covid-19 cases were identified earlier, especially those with clear symptoms. The rate has decreased somewhat because the ratio of registered infections to deaths has changed.
The virus continues to kill very old people, on average the deceased lived to be 81 years old. Correspondingly, the younger the patient, the lower the risk of severe disease. At the beginning of April, when the death rate was highest at up to seven percent, the average age of the registered infected was 52 years, since June it has been under 40 years. Now the average registered Covid-19 patient is 34 years old. The virus now mainly affects age groups who are unlikely to die from Covid-19.
Another reason for the drastically reduced death rate among Covid-19 patients is the improved treatment methods. In the beginning, doctors were surprised by an illness that puzzled them. She still does, but medicine has learned a lot. Partly through research; But doctors and staff have also learned a lot through experience. Often times, instead of trying different treatments hoping they will work, they now know what will help patients – or why they might die. It is now known that patients have a high risk of thrombosis and pulmonary embolism or suffer from immune thrombosis.
Lots of tests and specialists
The improved therapies go hand in hand with the expanded testing capacities. In the beginning, tests were often only performed when the symptoms were clear; today, suspicion is sufficient. A disease is now recognized at an earlier stage in which it can be treated more successfully.
The tests are likely to have generally been a recipe for success that has so far allowed Germany to get away with it comparatively lightly – which belittlers and deniers are now misinterpreting or misusing as evidence of the harmlessness of Covid-19. The first detection method for the coronavirus was developed in Berlin in January by a team led by Christian Drosten.
Take a deep breath against Covid-19
Synthetic nanobodies prevent infection
1.5 meter distance too short?
Infectious coronaviruses discovered in aerosols
Fleece scarves are rather harmful
Study: Everyday masks work, but not every one
This points to another important reason for the lower death rate in Germany. Compared to other countries, the Federal Republic of Germany has a very efficient health system, very well-trained doctors and medical staff, and renowned specialists in science. In Germany, there was never a shortage of ventilators and intensive care beds. These resources can now be used more effectively and efficiently and missing equipment such as protective clothing has largely been filled.
Long-term consequences even with mild courses
But even if hardly anyone dies of Covid-19 in Germany today and younger people rarely have a severe course, Sars-Cov-2 should not be underestimated. The disease can still be fatal and in recent times more and more studies and field reports suggest that Covid-19 can have serious long-term and / or long-term consequences. So the pathogen can presumably also with mild courses